If I had my time again / I would do it all the same. "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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43–6 on winners spread MAE 10.3 49 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Florida State @ Duke +17.9 151.2 90% 65–100 ✓
Boise State @ Fresno State -14.2 144.5 13% 66–61 ✓
Arizona State @ Utah +4.4 150.3 71% 73–99 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Mississippi Valley State -6.8 137.6 16% 83–58 ✓
McNeese @ Lamar -6.3 134.4 21% 68–66 ✓
Oakland @ Green Bay -6.8 144.8 25% 87–84 ✓
Delaware @ UNC Wilmington +11.2 152.6 86% 58–88 ✓
Marquette @ Georgetown -4.5 141.5 29% 76–61 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Baylor +14.2 149.5 87% 61–71 ✓
San Diego State @ Wyoming -9.3 132.1 18% 72–69 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Cal State Northridge +5.0 141.1 70% 77–103 ✓
Georgia @ Texas +2.7 145.4 63% 83–67 ✗
Santa Clara @ Pacific -14.3 152.1 14% 97–66 ✓
Kansas City @ St. Thomas +8.7 141.4 81% 59–65 ✓
Texas A&M @ Florida +10.6 145.3 84% 70–89 ✓
Arizona @ Iowa State +3.2 150.4 69% 67–84 ✓
California Baptist @ Utah Tech -4.7 144.0 31% 61–57 ✓
Oregon State @ Saint Mary's +12.2 132.3 86% 64–74 ✓
West Virginia @ BYU +8.7 139.6 83% 56–77 ✓
Boston College @ California +6.6 146.0 74% 71–82 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Northern Arizona -3.4 146.6 36% 83–73 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ UC San Diego +22.5 142.7 91% 55–100 ✓
Long Beach State @ UC Irvine +14.4 139.2 90% 60–70 ✓
Portland @ San Diego +0.3 153.6 52% 80–82 ✓
Washington State @ Pepperdine -4.6 154.7 32% 90–83 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Seattle U +0.1 139.2 55% 63–60 ✗
Gonzaga @ San Francisco -7.6 148.7 21% 95–75 ✓
UC Davis @ Hawai'i +3.0 132.8 65% 70–78 ✓
Charlotte @ East Carolina +6.6 145.3 76% 76–78 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ South Florida -1.5 152.5 42% 69–63 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Indiana State +2.6 155.1 58% 77–95 ✓
Iona @ Canisius -5.6 137.7 23% 82–52 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Liberty +9.1 138.5 79% 85–80 ✗
Wisconsin @ Michigan State +4.4 144.9 70% 62–71 ✓
Manhattan @ Niagara +0.5 144.8 58% 85–70 ✗
Northern Iowa @ Bradley +4.0 138.2 67% 56–73 ✓
Princeton @ Cornell +4.8 149.5 69% 70–102 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Marist +3.4 127.2 54% 57–52 ✗
Quinnipiac @ Merrimack +0.5 138.5 55% 63–73 ✓
Fairfield @ Sacred Heart +5.6 145.6 70% 62–83 ✓
Siena @ Mount St. Mary's +2.3 144.1 71% 79–85 ✓
Evansville @ Illinois State +8.3 140.9 81% 53–62 ✓
Valparaiso @ UIC +6.3 149.4 74% 73–77 ✓
Murray State @ Belmont +3.4 149.3 70% 60–70 ✓
Missouri State @ Drake +13.3 120.1 87% 60–68 ✓
Illinois @ Michigan +0.7 161.5 58% 93–73 ✗
Memphis @ UAB -2.9 162.5 34% 88–81 ✓
Colorado @ Kansas State +5.5 138.9 74% 56–65 ✓
Rice @ UTSA +0.4 146.8 58% 56–84 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.