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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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4–1 on winners spread MAE 13.6 29 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
Indiana State @ SIU Edwardsville	—	—	—	64–55	—
South Carolina State @ North Carolina A&T	—	—	—	62–85	—
Presbyterian @ Georgia State	—	—	—	63–61	—
Western Kentucky @ Eastern Kentucky	—	—	—	87–79	—
Fairfield @ Seton Hall	-5.0	120.3	53%	59–82	✗
UNC Wilmington @ Kent State	—	—	—	77–86	—
Charleston Southern @ The Citadel	—	—	—	96–86	—
Eastern Michigan @ Pittsburgh	—	—	—	66–78	—
Stetson @ Miami	—	—	—	61–102	—
Mississippi State @ Iowa State	—	—	—	80–96	—
Little Rock @ Milwaukee	—	—	—	72–92	—
Lindenwood @ Saint Louis	—	—	—	66–109	—
Lamar @ TCU	—	—	—	65–78	—
LSU New Orleans @ LSU	—	—	—	58–93	—
Cleveland State @ Northwestern	—	—	—	63–110	—
Santa Clara @ Xavier	—	—	—	87–68	—
Northern Illinois @ Grand Canyon	+5.3	150.2	81%	59–88	✓
Holy Cross @ Utah	—	—	—	69–87	—
SE Louisiana @ Georgia Tech	+6.7	130.1	76%	60–70	✓
St. Thomas @ Washington State	—	—	—	71–81	—
West Georgia @ UCLA	—	—	—	62–83	—
Cal State Fullerton @ California	—	—	—	65–93	—
Iona @ Kansas City	—	—	—	105–91	—
Long Island University @ Air Force	—	—	—	76–72	—
UMBC @ Morgan State	—	—	—	81–79	—
Wake Forest @ Michigan	—	—	—	84–85	—
App State @ Ohio State	+12.0	144.4	81%	53–75	✓
Lipscomb @ UNC Asheville	+7.7	148.3	79%	64–69	✓
Navy @ Penn State	—	—	—	71–80	—

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.