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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
20–5 on winners
spread MAE 11.3
27 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VCU
@
NC State
|
+11.8 | 158.5 | 81% | 79–85 | ✓ |
Drake
@
Charleston
|
+2.8 | 145.2 | 72% | 71–62 | ✗ |
West Georgia
@
Tennessee Tech
|
+12.0 | 143.5 | 85% | 61–59 | ✗ |
Oakland
@
UCF
|
+18.3 | 151.7 | 89% | 83–87 | ✓ |
Colgate
@
Siena
|
+9.0 | 134.4 | 81% | 72–69 | ✗ |
Lafayette
@
West Virginia
|
+23.9 | 138.1 | 91% | 59–81 | ✓ |
Niagara
@
Le Moyne
|
+0.3 | 134.4 | 47% | 68–74 | ✓ |
Canisius
@
High Point
|
+18.4 | 142.0 | 90% | 50–93 | ✓ |
Saint Joseph's
@
Pennsylvania
|
-0.9 | 147.8 | 57% | 74–83 | ✗ |
Bucknell
@
Pittsburgh
|
+10.4 | 133.8 | 81% | 50–84 | ✓ |
Lamar
@
UL Monroe
|
— | — | — | 79–66 | — |
Stonehill
@
Iowa State
|
+25.7 | 141.8 | 91% | 57–96 | ✓ |
SIU Edwardsville
@
Wisconsin
|
+17.8 | 135.7 | 89% | 69–94 | ✓ |
Southern Illinois
@
North Dakota State
|
+4.5 | 153.3 | 79% | 85–92 | ✓ |
Prairie View A&M
@
Missouri
|
+27.3 | 153.4 | 91% | 73–91 | ✓ |
Tulsa
@
Kansas State
|
+7.6 | 148.2 | 76% | 83–84 | ✓ |
Rice
@
Tennessee
|
+19.1 | 138.5 | 89% | 66–91 | ✓ |
Southern Utah
@
Gonzaga
|
+28.3 | 146.1 | 90% | 50–122 | ✓ |
Loyola Marymount
@
UC Santa Barbara
|
— | — | — | 78–74 | — |
Alabama State
@
Colorado
|
+7.9 | 158.8 | 82% | 66–94 | ✓ |
Georgia State
@
Arizona State
|
+14.0 | 134.4 | 86% | 62–75 | ✓ |
North Alabama
@
Clemson
|
+24.5 | 143.6 | 90% | 61–81 | ✓ |
Oregon State
@
Oregon
|
+9.4 | 137.1 | 79% | 75–87 | ✓ |
Cal State Bakersfield
@
Portland State
|
+6.0 | 139.4 | 71% | 80–93 | ✓ |
Michigan State
@
Kentucky
|
+8.6 | 142.4 | 76% | 83–66 | ✗ |
American University
@
Rutgers
|
+17.9 | 142.8 | 89% | 71–80 | ✓ |
Vermont
@
Buffalo
|
+2.3 | 147.3 | 62% | 90–94 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.