Why don't you get back into bed. "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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35–26 on winners spread MAE 9.5 61 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UCF @ Houston +11.9 144.9 85% 55–79 ✓
Michigan State @ Minnesota -10.1 135.7 17% 73–76 ✗
Notre Dame @ Louisville +15.2 150.5 88% 65–76 ✓
Bucknell @ American University +7.8 140.2 78% 60–59 ✗
George Washington @ Saint Joseph's -1.7 148.6 42% 73–76 ✗
Duquesne @ George Mason +9.2 145.7 82% 71–65 ✗
UTSA @ South Florida +19.4 158.6 90% 88–109 ✓
Tulsa @ Florida Atlantic -1.5 157.0 54% 78–76 ✓
Army @ Colgate +9.0 149.4 84% 55–69 ✓
Winthrop @ Radford -3.2 158.6 34% 80–78 ✓
Longwood @ Gardner-Webb -10.4 142.5 16% 86–66 ✓
Charleston Southern @ High Point +16.5 161.9 88% 55–80 ✓
Butler @ Providence -0.1 165.4 56% 87–97 ✗
Lehigh @ Loyola Maryland +0.5 147.8 53% 84–89 ✓
Navy @ Lafayette -4.9 135.1 29% 65–50 ✓
St. Thomas @ South Dakota State +0.4 148.6 54% 77–62 ✗
Youngstown State @ Purdue Fort Wayne +2.0 147.1 68% 90–61 ✗
Oakland @ Cleveland State -7.2 163.8 31% 78–91 ✗
Wright State @ Robert Morris -0.4 145.9 50% 66–72 ✗
Green Bay @ Northern Kentucky +6.5 145.3 79% 87–84 ✗
Furman @ East Tennessee State +5.2 141.6 73% 71–75 ✓
UL Monroe @ Old Dominion +11.0 154.8 87% 85–79 ✗
Southern Miss @ Marshall +10.2 145.5 83% 77–81 ✓
Louisiana @ James Madison +9.4 134.4 80% 64–61 ✗
Troy @ Georgia State -4.3 148.8 31% 74–63 ✓
Texas State @ Georgia Southern +3.1 146.1 60% 77–71 ✗
Arkansas State @ Coastal Carolina -1.4 148.6 44% 70–66 ✓
Texas A&M @ Alabama +7.4 177.5 69% 97–100 ✓
Liberty @ Delaware -10.2 135.0 15% 75–69 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Northwestern State +3.0 140.4 71% 74–68 ✗
Charlotte @ Wichita State +7.5 144.5 78% 64–74 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Grambling +5.9 144.6 82% 67–64 ✗
Creighton @ Georgetown +1.9 145.8 62% 68–76 ✓
North Alabama @ Central Arkansas +10.2 148.3 84% 60–81 ✓
Florida International @ Middle Tennessee +5.6 147.1 77% 88–84 ✗
UTEP @ Sam Houston +10.8 140.5 85% 66–70 ✓
New Mexico State @ Louisiana Tech -1.5 133.6 50% 72–63 ✓
North Texas @ Rice -2.3 134.3 40% 83–86 ✗
Colorado @ Baylor +6.4 153.9 76% 67–86 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ South Carolina State -1.8 128.5 44% 54–63 ✗
Georgia Tech @ California +9.6 145.6 84% 85–90 ✓
South Dakota @ Kansas City -3.3 151.2 35% 82–75 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Milwaukee +5.5 151.7 74% 76–63 ✗
Lipscomb @ Austin Peay +2.3 150.9 63% 76–87 ✓
Northwestern @ Illinois +14.7 146.8 88% 44–84 ✓
BYU @ Oklahoma State -5.7 160.0 27% 92–99 ✗
Arizona State @ Utah +0.2 158.0 52% 71–63 ✗
Oklahoma @ Kentucky +11.5 149.3 84% 78–94 ✓
Gonzaga @ Portland -15.6 151.7 12% 80–87 ✗
Clemson @ Stanford -2.2 136.2 40% 66–64 ✓
Santa Clara @ Pacific -6.2 143.3 22% 71–56 ✓
San Diego @ Saint Mary's +19.9 145.2 90% 60–87 ✓
Pepperdine @ Seattle U +9.8 138.0 85% 81–83 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ San Francisco +9.4 144.0 82% 84–75 ✗
Iowa @ Washington -1.3 134.8 44% 84–74 ✓
Utah State @ New Mexico +2.7 145.8 69% 86–66 ✗
Washington State @ Oregon State -2.0 144.8 48% 64–74 ✗
Vermont @ Maine -7.1 129.2 28% 70–76 ✗
Binghamton @ UMBC +11.3 139.6 87% 62–79 ✓
UAlbany @ Bryant -0.6 132.6 47% 65–63 ✓
Penn State @ Michigan +21.0 156.0 90% 69–110 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.