I have got the sharpest knife, so I get the biggest slice. "Revolution Rock" - The Clash
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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33–20 on winners spread MAE 9.0 53 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Tulsa @ Wichita State +0.9 145.5 61% 77–81 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Cal Poly -3.7 153.2 39% 79–89 ✗
Georgetown @ UConn +15.3 143.7 88% 75–79 ✓
Virginia @ Ohio State -2.9 145.1 35% 70–66 ✓
Memphis @ Utah State +12.3 147.5 86% 75–99 ✓
St. Thomas @ Kansas City -13.5 147.8 14% 104–64 ✓
South Dakota State @ Oral Roberts -7.7 145.8 25% 87–69 ✓
Hawai'i @ Cal State Northridge -1.8 152.5 52% 60–84 ✗
Sacramento State @ Northern Arizona +1.0 149.7 58% 74–79 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Western Kentucky +2.4 142.8 64% 80–82 ✓
Marshall @ Georgia Southern -3.6 156.0 37% 87–101 ✗
South Carolina @ Alabama +14.9 166.1 88% 75–89 ✓
Auburn @ Arkansas +6.0 167.9 64% 75–88 ✓
Troy @ Southern Miss -3.8 145.6 42% 65–69 ✗
Texas @ Missouri +0.3 148.2 53% 85–68 ✗
Minnesota @ Washington +6.1 134.5 74% 57–69 ✓
Montana State @ Montana +0.8 141.5 59% 82–71 ✗
California Baptist @ Utah Tech -1.9 141.3 35% 65–70 ✗
Nevada @ San Diego State +5.7 142.8 76% 57–71 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Irvine +9.5 152.9 81% 65–86 ✓
UC Riverside @ UC San Diego +12.6 140.2 88% 66–72 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Pacific -7.0 133.7 22% 72–61 ✓
Gonzaga @ Santa Clara -0.9 151.0 41% 94–86 ✓
UTSA @ Charlotte +12.6 144.8 87% 88–79 ✗
Utah @ Cincinnati +10.4 142.6 85% 65–69 ✓
Maryland @ Rutgers +1.0 144.7 48% 57–68 ✓
Indiana @ Illinois +12.0 158.1 85% 51–71 ✓
Holy Cross @ Loyola Maryland +2.7 141.5 68% 73–83 ✓
Denver @ Omaha +1.9 157.5 67% 76–83 ✓
Youngstown State @ Detroit Mercy -1.1 148.0 53% 70–76 ✗
Manhattan @ Canisius -1.7 140.6 42% 69–65 ✓
Indiana State @ Valparaiso +4.3 143.9 73% 75–76 ✓
Bradley @ Southern Illinois +2.0 145.9 61% 70–60 ✗
North Texas @ Temple +1.0 137.6 60% 65–62 ✗
South Florida @ Florida Atlantic -1.7 162.4 50% 83–81 ✓
Tulane @ UAB +7.4 151.4 81% 55–54 ✗
Rider @ Sacred Heart +8.6 148.0 84% 75–86 ✓
Fairfield @ Saint Peter's +2.8 137.3 63% 74–83 ✓
Merrimack @ Quinnipiac +2.6 140.9 59% 56–49 ✗
Oakland @ Robert Morris +2.1 153.3 64% 69–93 ✓
Wright State @ Cleveland State -6.3 152.6 30% 102–90 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Purdue Fort Wayne +7.9 156.0 82% 78–83 ✓
Iona @ Niagara -6.1 131.5 27% 68–70 ✗
Siena @ Marist +2.5 129.9 59% 67–63 ✗
Drake @ Northern Iowa +7.7 132.5 80% 62–86 ✓
Illinois State @ UIC -0.2 136.2 50% 56–83 ✗
Green Bay @ Milwaukee +3.0 143.4 72% 72–75 ✓
Davidson @ Dayton +4.4 139.9 70% 59–70 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ North Alabama -2.8 146.9 44% 78–84 ✗
Charleston @ Campbell +0.6 152.0 58% 62–57 ✗
Belmont @ Murray State +0.6 162.7 60% 87–70 ✗
San Francisco @ San Diego -3.7 147.3 39% 92–79 ✓
Seton Hall @ Butler +1.0 144.3 57% 63–56 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.