With fingernails that shine like justice, and a voice that is dark like tinted glass. "Short Skirt Long Jacket" - Cake
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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79–44 on winners spread MAE 9.4 123 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
George Mason @ George Washington +4.3 141.2 68% 53–72 ✓
Cornell @ Princeton -0.2 158.8 48% 89–65 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Sacred Heart -1.4 142.8 42% 71–78 ✗
Yale @ Dartmouth -9.0 145.5 20% 83–70 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Siena +3.6 142.1 68% 74–62 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Rider -3.8 133.3 33% 65–55 ✓
Iona @ Canisius -7.0 136.3 27% 69–63 ✓
Brown @ Harvard +7.2 131.7 75% 53–56 ✓
Columbia @ Pennsylvania +1.8 142.2 63% 67–76 ✓
Michigan State @ Wisconsin -1.9 148.6 42% 71–92 ✗
Saint Louis @ Loyola Chicago -12.5 151.6 16% 86–59 ✓
Massachusetts @ Akron +13.0 157.3 88% 92–99 ✓
Ohio @ Miami (OH) +11.7 161.0 86% 74–90 ✓
UNLV @ Boise State +12.8 156.7 88% 86–83 ✗
Hampton @ North Carolina A&T -2.3 137.6 42% 70–71 ✗
Clemson @ Duke +13.2 132.9 88% 54–67 ✓
Fordham @ Rhode Island +5.8 130.6 68% 70–66 ✗
TCU @ Oklahoma State +0.4 151.6 56% 95–92 ✗
Georgia Tech @ Notre Dame +9.1 148.1 81% 74–89 ✓
California @ Boston College -3.2 136.7 47% 86–75 ✓
Navy @ Colgate +1.0 137.0 53% 84–80 ✗
Samford @ East Tennessee State +6.8 143.7 75% 82–72 ✗
UCLA @ Michigan +15.2 155.9 88% 56–86 ✓
Kansas @ Iowa State +7.7 142.8 81% 56–74 ✓
Northwestern @ Nebraska +12.6 146.5 86% 49–68 ✓
St. John's @ Providence -6.7 166.5 21% 79–69 ✓
Texas A&M @ Vanderbilt +9.7 168.6 81% 69–82 ✓
Bucknell @ Boston University +4.5 144.2 62% 69–82 ✓
Long Island University @ New Haven -6.0 128.1 25% 52–55 ✗
Chicago State @ Le Moyne +6.8 140.6 73% 63–81 ✓
UMBC @ New Hampshire -3.7 139.4 40% 85–63 ✓
Furman @ VMI -12.0 141.2 21% 90–72 ✓
Mercer @ The Citadel -10.2 149.6 17% 70–54 ✓
Pittsburgh @ North Carolina +13.1 141.9 87% 65–79 ✓
East Carolina @ Rice +4.8 145.5 68% 85–75 ✗
Army @ American University +8.5 143.7 79% 63–75 ✓
Presbyterian @ UNC Asheville +5.9 135.2 74% 58–57 ✗
High Point @ Gardner-Webb -14.7 155.1 12% 112–87 ✓
Florida State @ Virginia Tech +6.5 158.7 75% 92–69 ✗
SMU @ Syracuse -2.6 156.2 49% 78–79 ✗
North Dakota State @ North Dakota -6.3 147.9 29% 83–66 ✓
Western Michigan @ Eastern Michigan +4.8 142.9 71% 76–62 ✗
Kent State @ Ball State -7.7 143.0 22% 75–68 ✓
Wagner @ Stonehill +1.1 131.3 51% 68–57 ✗
Mercyhurst @ Saint Francis -3.8 136.3 33% 94–79 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Fairleigh Dickinson -0.2 136.2 47% 63–57 ✓
Bryant @ Vermont +9.8 134.9 85% 63–90 ✓
Elon @ William & Mary +6.2 159.8 76% 81–78 ✗
West Georgia @ Central Arkansas +11.5 151.8 87% 62–79 ✓
Stetson @ Florida Gulf Coast +8.8 148.9 85% 76–78 ✓
Liberty @ UTEP -6.4 136.0 24% 73–64 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Florida International +2.8 143.0 59% 64–77 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Radford +3.5 163.5 73% 80–90 ✓
Villanova @ Creighton -2.6 142.1 42% 80–69 ✓
Kentucky @ Florida +10.1 150.3 82% 83–92 ✓
Penn State @ Oregon +5.8 142.1 76% 72–83 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Longwood +4.3 145.0 75% 75–82 ✓
Marquette @ Xavier +4.3 157.0 68% 88–96 ✓
NJIT @ Maine -0.7 134.6 45% 67–58 ✓
UL Monroe @ Texas State +11.5 148.9 88% 84–95 ✓
South Alabama @ Arkansas State +7.3 144.7 76% 92–88 ✗
Southern Utah @ UT Arlington +10.2 143.0 85% 78–73 ✗
Delaware @ Missouri State +6.8 135.9 78% 76–67 ✗
Florida A&M @ Jackson State -0.6 143.5 47% 60–80 ✗
Georgia State @ Old Dominion +2.6 144.9 64% 55–78 ✓
Georgia @ Oklahoma -1.9 168.2 43% 78–94 ✗
Tennessee State @ Morehead State -0.7 146.8 50% 86–94 ✗
Kansas State @ Houston +16.9 143.9 90% 64–78 ✓
Colorado @ BYU +13.1 157.5 87% 86–90 ✓
Louisville @ Baylor -6.3 157.9 24% 82–71 ✓
Wyoming @ Colorado State +4.0 136.2 69% 68–79 ✓
Duquesne @ St. Bonaventure +2.5 154.1 62% 78–73 ✗
Stanford @ Wake Forest +3.6 148.4 68% 63–68 ✓
Miami @ NC State +4.3 156.3 71% 77–76 ✗
UAlbany @ Binghamton -4.6 134.5 38% 77–74 ✓
Hofstra @ UNC Wilmington +2.6 136.8 66% 66–70 ✓
App State @ James Madison +0.3 134.4 52% 58–69 ✓
Portland State @ Northern Colorado +1.2 145.6 56% 65–77 ✓
North Florida @ Jacksonville +5.2 152.0 69% 56–63 ✓
Lipscomb @ Queens University +0.8 159.5 56% 81–87 ✓
Tarleton State @ Abilene Christian +0.9 134.9 56% 59–73 ✓
Delaware State @ Norfolk State +9.8 131.9 84% 58–75 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Alabama State +2.0 146.6 67% 61–79 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Alcorn State -5.6 144.7 22% 55–57 ✗
Lamar @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +1.7 132.1 58% 63–76 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Northwestern State +0.2 131.3 52% 66–69 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Houston Christian -0.6 143.8 59% 60–61 ✗
UT Martin @ SIU Edwardsville -0.3 127.6 46% 81–76 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Lindenwood +1.6 149.3 66% 73–61 ✗
Little Rock @ Eastern Illinois -0.8 132.3 46% 72–78 ✗
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Howard +11.0 130.4 87% 53–79 ✓
Purdue @ Iowa +0.8 138.6 53% 78–57 ✗
Lehigh @ Lafayette +0.9 141.0 53% 78–69 ✗
Loyola Marymount @ Pepperdine -5.1 144.8 30% 89–90 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ Alabama A&M +14.2 137.1 89% 65–72 ✓
Grand Canyon @ San José State -9.5 136.4 23% 94–79 ✓
Coppin State @ North Carolina Central +9.8 142.1 87% 58–56 ✗
Air Force @ Fresno State +14.7 139.5 89% 63–93 ✓
Toledo @ Bowling Green +3.2 144.2 65% 70–80 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Central Michigan +3.4 138.4 67% 46–88 ✓
Wofford @ UNC Greensboro -2.0 150.9 46% 89–99 ✗
Western Carolina @ Chattanooga +0.7 145.1 63% 81–76 ✗
Long Beach State @ UC Davis +5.9 147.4 78% 54–71 ✓
Nicholls @ Incarnate Word +2.2 144.2 61% 91–83 ✗
Idaho State @ Idaho +3.8 144.3 68% 69–99 ✓
Weber State @ Eastern Washington +1.3 154.2 59% 66–84 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Southern Indiana -0.5 140.2 41% 82–74 ✓
Sam Houston @ Kennesaw State +0.3 158.9 54% 83–79 ✗
New Mexico State @ Jacksonville State +1.3 135.4 59% 79–70 ✗
Grambling @ Texas Southern -0.2 137.6 52% 79–82 ✗
Southern @ Prairie View A&M -1.3 159.2 44% 87–82 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ UT Rio Grande Valley -0.1 140.0 52% 66–57 ✓
Bellarmine @ Austin Peay +11.5 150.4 86% 70–90 ✓
VCU @ Richmond -5.4 149.9 24% 78–67 ✓
West Virginia @ UCF +4.4 137.0 68% 74–67 ✗
Brown @ Dartmouth +4.2 139.3 65% 79–76 ✗
Columbia @ Princeton +0.5 138.6 55% 75–65 ✗
Cornell @ Pennsylvania +0.5 162.0 56% 76–82 ✓
McNeese @ East Texas A&M -12.2 139.4 13% 97–54 ✓
LSU @ Tennessee +11.1 147.1 87% 63–73 ✓
Texas Tech @ Arizona +10.7 157.3 81% 78–75 ✗
Yale @ Harvard -4.3 137.5 29% 76–75 ✓
Mississippi State @ Ole Miss +5.0 144.5 72% 90–78 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.