Betting Lines
| Spread | LR -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | LR -575 WIU +425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LR +7 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | LR -9.4 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.8 (+29.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LR -8.5 (-1.5) | 133.1 (+31.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LR -8.3 (-1.3) | 133.1 (+31.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LR -8.1 (-1.1) | 133.8 (+31.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LR -8.0 (-1.0) | 133.6 (+31.4) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | LR 77 – 58 WIU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | LR 75 – 61 WIU |
| Jan 24, 2025 | LR 62 – 51 WIU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | LR 82 – 57 WIU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | LR 63 – 60 WIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LR | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 1-19 |
| Home | 7-6 | 4-11 |
| Away | 5-13 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 78.5 |
| Massey | -9.9 (#311) | -15.9 (#354) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#260) | -3.28 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.63 (#271) | -4.35 (#356) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#273) | 0.359 (#357) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LR | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 27.9% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 42.9% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.7% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 63.6% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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