Betting Lines
| Spread | LR -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | WIU +195 LR -230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LR +11 | 113 | Lost |
| Massey | LR -4.4 (-6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.1 (-15.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LR -3.8 (-7.2) | 132.6 (-19.6) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LR -5.0 (-6.0) | 132.7 (-19.7) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LR -4.5 (-6.5) | 133.2 (-20.2) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LR -3.6 (-7.4) | 133.3 (-20.3) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | LR 77 – 58 WIU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | LR 86 – 79 WIU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | LR 75 – 61 WIU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | LR 82 – 57 WIU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | LR 63 – 60 WIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | LR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 12-8 |
| Home | 8-7 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 67.7 |
| Massey | -11.7 (#332) | -3.9 (#226) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.16 (#333) | -0.09 (#188) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.34 (#343) | -0.51 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.383 (#346) | 0.499 (#183) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | LR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.0% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 44.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 64.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 29.7% |
Game Analysis
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