Betting Lines
| Spread | WIU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | WIU -110 LR +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LR +3 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | WIU -3.3 (-6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (-21.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIU -3.7 (-6.7) | 139.1 (-16.1) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIU -2.4 (-5.4) | 138.1 (-15.1) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WIU -2.8 (-5.8) | 139.9 (-16.9) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -2.3 (-5.3) | 139.3 (-16.3) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | LR 77 – 58 WIU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | LR 86 – 79 WIU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | LR 75 – 61 WIU |
| Jan 24, 2025 | LR 62 – 51 WIU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | LR 82 – 57 WIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | LR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 14-4 |
| Home | 10-5 | 14-4 |
| Away | 10-6 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#250) | -4.3 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#184) | -0.97 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.00 (#169) | -0.96 (#253) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#165) | 0.420 (#314) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | LR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.6 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 37.7% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.8% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 29.0% |
Game Analysis
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