Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | COFC -1600 CAM +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +23 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | COFC -14.7 (+8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.5 (+16.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -13.7 (+9.3) | 151.2 (+17.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -15.5 (+7.5) | 154.1 (+14.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -13.7 (+9.3) | 150.9 (+18.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -13.1 (+9.9) | 150.6 (+18.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | COFC 62 – 57 CAM |
| Jan 23, 2026 | COFC 87 – 83 CAM |
| Mar 1, 2025 | COFC 87 – 65 CAM |
| Jan 17, 2025 | COFC 67 – 61 CAM |
| Jan 27, 2024 | COFC 90 – 67 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-2 | 11-6 |
| Away | 10-2 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.5 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 73.9 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#116) | -7.4 (#292) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.12 (#90) | -1.27 (#299) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#99) | -1.54 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.556 (#78) | 0.430 (#310) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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