Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | CAM +450 COFC -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +23 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | COFC -7.5 (-15.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (+12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -7.7 (-15.3) | 143.2 (+13.8) | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -8.6 (-14.4) | 147.5 (+9.5) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -7.7 (-15.3) | 143.4 (+13.6) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -7.3 (-15.7) | 144.0 (+13.0) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | COFC 62 – 57 CAM |
| Jan 23, 2026 | COFC 87 – 83 CAM |
| Mar 1, 2025 | COFC 87 – 65 CAM |
| Jan 17, 2025 | COFC 67 – 61 CAM |
| Mar 1, 2024 | COFC 96 – 73 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAM | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 15-3 |
| Home | 11-6 | 13-2 |
| Away | 3-11 | 10-2 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 80.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#305) | 2.6 (#132) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.47 (#303) | 0.94 (#102) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.91 (#306) | 1.16 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.409 (#318) | 0.550 (#94) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAM | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 40.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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