Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | COFC -290 CAM +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +22 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | COFC -5.5 (+16.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (+6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -6.7 (+15.3) | 143.3 (+8.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -7.0 (+15.0) | 144.0 (+8.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -6.2 (+15.8) | 143.2 (+8.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -6.3 (+15.7) | 143.2 (+8.8) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | COFC 62 – 57 CAM |
| Jan 23, 2026 | COFC 87 – 83 CAM |
| Jan 17, 2025 | COFC 67 – 61 CAM |
| Mar 1, 2024 | COFC 96 – 73 CAM |
| Jan 27, 2024 | COFC 90 – 67 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-9 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-2 | 8-6 |
| Away | 7-5 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#153) | -2.0 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#101) | -0.76 (#236) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#109) | -0.66 (#217) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#74) | 0.460 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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