Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | DRKE -333 MOST +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +17 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -5.7 (+11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.5 (-20.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -3.9 (+13.1) | 146.8 (-15.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -5.1 (+11.9) | 143.9 (-12.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -3.8 (+13.2) | 146.4 (-15.4) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -3.5 (+13.5) | 147.9 (-16.9) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2025 | DRKE 68 – 60 MOST |
| Jan 25, 2025 | DRKE 69 – 62 MOST |
| Jan 25, 2024 | MOST 83 – 80 DRKE |
| Jan 19, 2023 | MOST 65 – 62 DRKE |
| Jan 1, 2023 | MOST 52 – 49 DRKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 8-12 |
| Home | 16-0 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.7 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#90) | 5.8 (#84) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.59 (#62) | 1.47 (#68) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.73 (#86) | 1.85 (#84) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#61) | 0.585 (#70) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 38.7% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 39.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.68 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 31.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.8% | 43.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
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