Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | MOST +150 DRKE -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MOST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MOST +3 | 101 | Won |
| Massey | MOST -6.3 (-3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.1 (-26.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MOST -4.0 (-1.0) | 133.4 (-32.4) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MOST -4.9 (-1.9) | 129.6 (-28.6) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MOST -4.1 (-1.1) | 132.6 (-31.6) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MOST -3.9 (-0.9) | 134.0 (-33.0) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2025 | DRKE 68 – 60 MOST |
| Jan 25, 2025 | DRKE 69 – 62 MOST |
| Jan 25, 2024 | MOST 83 – 80 DRKE |
| Dec 2, 2023 | DRKE 74 – 57 MOST |
| Jan 19, 2023 | MOST 65 – 62 DRKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MOST | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 15-5 |
| Home | 10-4 | 14-1 |
| Away | 5-8 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 7-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.7 | 64.4 |
| Massey | 4.3 (#100) | 2.5 (#127) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.00 (#170) | 1.27 (#73) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#139) | 1.47 (#83) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#148) | 0.572 (#62) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MOST | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 15.6% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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