Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 118.5 Over |
| Money | MOST +380 DRKE -550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MOST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +7 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | DRKE -9.2 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.5 (+7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -9.3 (+2.3) | 125.4 (+5.6) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -9.8 (+2.8) | 126.2 (+4.8) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -9.2 (+2.2) | 130.0 (+1.0) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -10.1 (+3.1) | 125.9 (+5.1) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2025 | DRKE 68 – 60 MOST |
| Jan 25, 2024 | MOST 83 – 80 DRKE |
| Dec 2, 2023 | DRKE 74 – 57 MOST |
| Jan 19, 2023 | MOST 65 – 62 DRKE |
| Jan 1, 2023 | MOST 52 – 49 DRKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MOST | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 31-4 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 17-3 |
| Home | 7-8 | 14-2 |
| Away | 1-12 | 9-1 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 8-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 60.2 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#250) | 7.3 (#80) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.35 (#288) | 2.50 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.36 (#266) | 2.88 (#38) |
| RPI | 0.428 (#300) | 0.599 (#37) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MOST | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 37.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.0% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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