Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | DRKE -300 MOST +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MOST +3 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | DRKE -5.8 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.0 (-0.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -5.6 (-8.6) | 129.6 (-2.6) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -5.6 (-8.6) | 127.6 (-0.6) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -5.7 (-8.7) | 129.9 (-2.9) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -5.9 (-8.9) | 131.1 (-4.1) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2025 | DRKE 68 – 60 MOST |
| Jan 25, 2025 | DRKE 69 – 62 MOST |
| Jan 25, 2024 | MOST 83 – 80 DRKE |
| Dec 2, 2023 | DRKE 74 – 57 MOST |
| Jan 1, 2023 | MOST 52 – 49 DRKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 12-8 |
| Home | 14-1 | 10-4 |
| Away | 6-6 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.4 | 63.7 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#103) | 2.5 (#129) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.14 (#80) | 0.12 (#166) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.39 (#84) | 0.15 (#163) |
| RPI | 0.575 (#58) | 0.522 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 17.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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