Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -23.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.0 Under |
| Money | FAU -4000 FIU +1450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +34 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -25.2 (+8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.5 (-1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -25.1 (+8.9) | 153.3 (+0.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -23.3 (+10.7) | 152.1 (+1.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -22.7 (+11.3) | 153.2 (+0.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -24.2 (+9.8) | 153.7 (+0.3) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2024 | FAU 88 – 77 FIU |
| Jan 12, 2023 | FAU 77 – 73 FIU |
| Dec 17, 2022 | FAU 79 – 53 FIU |
| Mar 5, 2022 | FAU 84 – 76 FIU |
| Mar 4, 2022 | FAU 71 – 51 FIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAU | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 5-11 |
| Home | 13-1 | 9-6 |
| Away | 5-5 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.0 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 77.2 |
| Massey | 14.8 (#11) | -5.5 (#276) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.10 (#36) | -1.86 (#312) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.95 (#36) | -2.09 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.648 (#12) | 0.406 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAU | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.5% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.9% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 27.4% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 61.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 29.7% |
Game Analysis
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