Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | FIU +320 FAU -425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +11 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | FAU -1.1 (-9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.9 (+0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -0.1 (-10.9) | 152.9 (+12.1) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -3.6 (-7.4) | 153.0 (+12.0) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -0.8 (-10.2) | 152.0 (+13.0) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -1.2 (-9.8) | 150.5 (+14.5) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2023 | FAU 94 – 60 FIU |
| Jan 12, 2023 | FAU 77 – 73 FIU |
| Dec 17, 2022 | FAU 79 – 53 FIU |
| Mar 5, 2022 | FAU 84 – 76 FIU |
| Mar 4, 2022 | FAU 71 – 51 FIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FIU | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-8 | 8-5 |
| Away | 1-13 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 78.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 76.4 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#191) | 4.8 (#93) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.94 (#319) | -0.08 (#176) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.97 (#321) | 0.55 (#126) |
| RPI | 0.407 (#310) | 0.564 (#74) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FIU | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 26.1% | 38.3% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.1% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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