Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -12.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +8 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -11.2 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.5 (+20.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -10.6 (-2.6) | 138.6 (+21.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -11.5 (-3.5) | 140.1 (+19.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -10.5 (-2.5) | 140.4 (+19.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -10.9 (-2.9) | 139.8 (+20.2) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2024 | FAU 88 – 77 FIU |
| Dec 14, 2023 | FAU 94 – 60 FIU |
| Jan 12, 2023 | FAU 77 – 73 FIU |
| Dec 17, 2022 | FAU 79 – 53 FIU |
| Mar 4, 2022 | FAU 71 – 51 FIU |
Game Analysis
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