Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +20 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | FAU -4.6 (-15.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.8 (-18.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -1.5 (-18.5) | 139.5 (-17.5) | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -4.5 (-15.5) | 138.0 (-16.0) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -2.3 (-17.7) | 140.9 (-18.9) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -1.9 (-18.1) | 141.2 (-19.2) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2024 | FAU 88 – 77 FIU |
| Dec 14, 2023 | FAU 94 – 60 FIU |
| Jan 12, 2023 | FAU 77 – 73 FIU |
| Dec 17, 2022 | FAU 79 – 53 FIU |
| Mar 5, 2022 | FAU 84 – 76 FIU |
Game Analysis
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