Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | FAU -1200 FIU +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +26 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -26.7 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (-14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -20.1 (+5.9) | 148.7 (-16.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -20.5 (+5.5) | 149.7 (-17.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -18.9 (+7.1) | 148.1 (-16.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -21.1 (+4.9) | 148.0 (-16.0) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2024 | FAU 88 – 77 FIU |
| Dec 14, 2023 | FAU 94 – 60 FIU |
| Jan 12, 2023 | FAU 77 – 73 FIU |
| Mar 5, 2022 | FAU 84 – 76 FIU |
| Mar 4, 2022 | FAU 71 – 51 FIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAU | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 35-4 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 8-12 |
| Home | 17-0 | 11-7 |
| Away | 11-3 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 75.5 |
| Massey | 14.7 (#12) | -6.9 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.34 (#28) | -2.29 (#328) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.79 (#41) | -3.13 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.615 (#33) | 0.360 (#351) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAU | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.5% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 41.4% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.7% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 14.2% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.7% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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