Betting Lines
| Spread | MOST -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | MOST -200 MUR +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MOST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MUR +24 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | MOST -6.9 (-30.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (-14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MOST -4.1 (-28.1) | 142.5 (-12.5) | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MOST -4.2 (-28.2) | 141.6 (-11.6) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MOST -4.9 (-28.9) | 142.2 (-12.2) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MOST -5.0 (-29.0) | 141.8 (-11.8) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2025 | MOST 77 – 56 MUR |
| Mar 7, 2024 | MOST 60 – 35 MUR |
| Feb 15, 2024 | MUR 82 – 72 MOST |
| Feb 22, 2023 | MOST 84 – 69 MUR |
| Jan 28, 2023 | MUR 74 – 71 MOST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MOST | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 9-11 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-8 |
| Away | 4-10 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#137) | -0.9 (#180) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#162) | -0.79 (#246) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#142) | -0.54 (#219) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#160) | 0.455 (#254) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MOST | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 13.5% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.8% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.8% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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