Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | GWEB -275 NCCU +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GWEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCCU +1 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | GWEB -11.9 (-12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.3 (+4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GWEB -8.3 (-9.3) | 144.6 (+10.4) | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GWEB -8.7 (-9.7) | 145.0 (+10.0) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GWEB -9.4 (-10.4) | 146.0 (+9.0) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GWEB -10.2 (-11.2) | 146.3 (+8.7) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2024 | GWEB 88 – 82 NCCU |
| Dec 17, 2022 | GWEB 72 – 70 NCCU |
| Nov 26, 2022 | NCCU 58 – 53 GWEB |
| Dec 16, 2021 | NCCU 72 – 71 GWEB |
| Nov 30, 2021 | GWEB 83 – 58 NCCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GWEB | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 6-8 |
| Home | 5-6 | 10-4 |
| Away | 3-13 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 78.8 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#150) | -6.3 (#280) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#168) | -1.80 (#310) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#194) | -2.64 (#308) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#125) | 0.393 (#323) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GWEB | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 27.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.65 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 23.5% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 57.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 23.6% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 56.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 37.5% |
Game Analysis
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