Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -10.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GWEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GWEB +25 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | GWEB -8.2 (+16.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.1 (+6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GWEB -9.6 (+15.4) | 143.5 (-2.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GWEB -8.2 (+16.8) | 142.7 (-1.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GWEB -7.5 (+17.5) | 141.6 (-0.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GWEB -7.3 (+17.7) | 141.8 (-0.8) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2024 | NCCU 78 – 77 GWEB |
| Nov 8, 2024 | GWEB 88 – 82 NCCU |
| Dec 17, 2022 | GWEB 72 – 70 NCCU |
| Nov 26, 2022 | NCCU 58 – 53 GWEB |
| Dec 16, 2021 | NCCU 72 – 71 GWEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GWEB | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 0-4 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#201) | -3.2 (#245) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#191) | -2.46 (#325) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#171) | -4.00 (#333) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#83) | 0.388 (#314) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GWEB | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 37.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 23.1% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 41.7% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 24.7% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 15.5% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 63.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 43.3% |
Game Analysis
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