Betting Lines
| Spread | NCCU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | NCCU -110 GWEB -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GWEB +6 | 170 | Lost |
| Massey | NCCU -17.5 (-23.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.7 (+28.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCCU -3.3 (-9.3) | 141.8 (+28.2) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NCCU -5.4 (-11.4) | 137.6 (+32.4) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2024 | NCCU 78 – 77 GWEB |
| Dec 17, 2022 | GWEB 72 – 70 NCCU |
| Nov 26, 2022 | NCCU 58 – 53 GWEB |
| Dec 16, 2021 | NCCU 72 – 71 GWEB |
| Nov 30, 2021 | GWEB 83 – 58 NCCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCCU | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 5-11 |
| Home | 10-4 | 5-6 |
| Away | 2-13 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 78.1 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#135) | 0.6 (#131) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#208) | -0.31 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#192) | -0.41 (#188) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCCU | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 28.1% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 23.8% | 26.1% |
| REB / G | 28.0 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 32.5% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 36.8% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.1% | 58.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.5% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 47.1% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 60.8% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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