Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | GWEB -250 NCCU +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GWEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GWEB +2 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | GWEB -4.9 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.6 (+14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GWEB -4.2 (-2.2) | 130.0 (+12.0) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GWEB -4.3 (-2.3) | 129.4 (+12.6) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GWEB -3.9 (-1.9) | 131.4 (+10.6) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GWEB -3.4 (-1.4) | 132.7 (+9.3) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2024 | NCCU 78 – 77 GWEB |
| Nov 8, 2024 | GWEB 88 – 82 NCCU |
| Nov 26, 2022 | NCCU 58 – 53 GWEB |
| Dec 16, 2021 | NCCU 72 – 71 GWEB |
| Nov 30, 2021 | GWEB 83 – 58 NCCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GWEB | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 18-12 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-4 |
| Home | 8-5 | 13-1 |
| Away | 6-10 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 67.9 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#152) | 1.4 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#253) | -0.73 (#249) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#245) | -0.77 (#238) |
| RPI | 0.424 (#292) | 0.467 (#237) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GWEB | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 41.7% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 15.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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