Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | NCCU +110 GWEB -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCCU +5 | 111 | Won |
| Massey | NCCU -5.6 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.0 (-28.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCCU -2.8 (+2.2) | 137.6 (-26.6) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCCU -0.0 (+5.0) | 131.6 (-20.6) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCCU -2.6 (+2.4) | 139.2 (-28.2) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCCU -2.9 (+2.1) | 140.0 (-29.0) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2024 | NCCU 78 – 77 GWEB |
| Nov 8, 2024 | GWEB 88 – 82 NCCU |
| Dec 17, 2022 | GWEB 72 – 70 NCCU |
| Dec 16, 2021 | NCCU 72 – 71 GWEB |
| Nov 30, 2021 | GWEB 83 – 58 NCCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCCU | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-12 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-1 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-10 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#171) | 1.9 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.32 (#273) | -0.40 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.85 (#264) | -0.43 (#206) |
| RPI | 0.423 (#266) | 0.424 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCCU | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 39.7% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 29.8 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 20.0% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 16.8% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 29.9% |
Game Analysis
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