Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCCU +1 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | GWEB -3.7 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.3 (+10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GWEB -2.7 (+3.7) | 140.8 (+2.2) | 40% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GWEB -4.1 (+5.1) | 141.4 (+1.6) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GWEB -2.8 (+3.8) | 137.4 (+5.6) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GWEB -3.2 (+4.2) | 138.9 (+4.1) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2024 | NCCU 78 – 77 GWEB |
| Nov 8, 2024 | GWEB 88 – 82 NCCU |
| Dec 17, 2022 | GWEB 72 – 70 NCCU |
| Nov 26, 2022 | NCCU 58 – 53 GWEB |
| Nov 30, 2021 | GWEB 83 – 58 NCCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCCU | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Massey | -9.0 (#312) | -0.7 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.76 (#299) | -0.98 (#255) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.88 (#318) | -0.96 (#242) |
| RPI | 0.367 (#341) | 0.457 (#244) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCCU | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.1% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 22.5% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.55 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.0% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 22.7% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 15.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.2% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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