Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | RGV +300 CBU -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RGV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +9 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | CBU -5.3 (-3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (-27.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CBU -5.4 (-3.6) | 140.8 (-23.8) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -5.3 (-3.7) | 141.2 (-24.2) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -5.9 (-3.1) | 140.7 (-23.7) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -4.7 (-4.3) | 140.9 (-23.9) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2024 | CBU 88 – 52 RGV |
| Mar 2, 2023 | CBU 88 – 70 RGV |
| Jan 29, 2023 | RGV 64 – 58 CBU |
| Mar 9, 2022 | CBU 81 – 80 RGV |
| Feb 13, 2022 | CBU 80 – 72 RGV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RGV | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-25 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 8-12 |
| Home | 5-9 | 11-7 |
| Away | 1-13 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L14 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.2 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.7 | 67.1 |
| Massey | -9.2 (#314) | -0.2 (#168) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.46 (#302) | -0.24 (#198) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.25 (#321) | -0.02 (#172) |
| RPI | 0.418 (#307) | 0.471 (#228) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RGV | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 32.4% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 64.4% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.2% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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