Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | CBU -900 RGV +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +36 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | CBU -12.4 (+23.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.0 (-1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CBU -10.3 (+25.7) | 136.0 (+4.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -10.6 (+25.4) | 137.2 (+2.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -11.2 (+24.8) | 139.0 (+1.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -9.9 (+26.1) | 137.0 (+3.0) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 26, 2024 | CBU 63 – 54 RGV |
| Mar 2, 2023 | CBU 88 – 70 RGV |
| Jan 29, 2023 | RGV 64 – 58 CBU |
| Mar 9, 2022 | CBU 81 – 80 RGV |
| Feb 13, 2022 | CBU 80 – 72 RGV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CBU | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 2-18 |
| Home | 11-7 | 5-9 |
| Away | 4-9 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L14 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 68.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 80.7 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#192) | -11.0 (#327) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#226) | -1.91 (#329) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#209) | -2.62 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#266) | 0.397 (#342) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CBU | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 30.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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