Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | CBU -500 RGV +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +18 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | CBU -8.8 (+9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.1 (+11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CBU -6.5 (+11.5) | 145.2 (+12.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -7.7 (+10.3) | 143.2 (+14.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -7.3 (+10.7) | 144.0 (+14.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -6.4 (+11.6) | 144.2 (+13.8) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2024 | CBU 88 – 52 RGV |
| Jan 26, 2024 | CBU 63 – 54 RGV |
| Jan 29, 2023 | RGV 64 – 58 CBU |
| Mar 9, 2022 | CBU 81 – 80 RGV |
| Feb 13, 2022 | CBU 80 – 72 RGV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CBU | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 6-12 |
| Home | 13-5 | 11-6 |
| Away | 4-8 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.9 | 81.2 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#166) | -5.1 (#256) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#191) | -0.40 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#173) | -0.75 (#236) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#257) | 0.481 (#219) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CBU | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 32.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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