Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | CBU -450 RGV +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +8 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | CBU -7.2 (+0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.0 (-3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CBU -5.3 (+2.7) | 152.8 (-0.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -5.7 (+2.3) | 151.3 (+0.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -5.8 (+2.2) | 153.7 (-1.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -5.4 (+2.6) | 153.2 (-1.2) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2024 | CBU 88 – 52 RGV |
| Jan 26, 2024 | CBU 63 – 54 RGV |
| Mar 2, 2023 | CBU 88 – 70 RGV |
| Jan 29, 2023 | RGV 64 – 58 CBU |
| Mar 9, 2022 | CBU 81 – 80 RGV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CBU | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 3-15 |
| Home | 14-5 | 4-9 |
| Away | 3-9 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 79.7 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#215) | -6.4 (#275) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#228) | -1.72 (#306) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.88 (#240) | -1.95 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#257) | 0.445 (#274) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CBU | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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