Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | RGV +260 CBU -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RGV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RGV +6 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | CBU -5.4 (+11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (-26.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CBU -5.0 (+11.0) | 147.4 (-25.4) | 31% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -5.9 (+11.9) | 146.4 (-24.4) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -4.9 (+10.9) | 146.2 (-24.2) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -4.4 (+10.4) | 147.1 (-25.1) | 29% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2024 | CBU 88 – 52 RGV |
| Jan 26, 2024 | CBU 63 – 54 RGV |
| Mar 2, 2023 | CBU 88 – 70 RGV |
| Mar 9, 2022 | CBU 81 – 80 RGV |
| Feb 13, 2022 | CBU 80 – 72 RGV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RGV | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-6 | 13-5 |
| Away | 4-10 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.2 | 65.9 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#293) | 2.0 (#132) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#244) | 0.23 (#152) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#257) | 0.44 (#138) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#227) | 0.485 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RGV | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 23.2% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 35.0% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.2% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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