Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +1 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | CBU -7.2 (-6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.1 (+10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CBU -7.3 (-6.3) | 144.3 (+16.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -6.3 (-5.3) | 146.5 (+14.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -7.4 (-6.4) | 145.8 (+15.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -7.2 (-6.2) | 145.9 (+15.1) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2024 | CBU 88 – 52 RGV |
| Jan 26, 2024 | CBU 63 – 54 RGV |
| Mar 2, 2023 | CBU 88 – 70 RGV |
| Jan 29, 2023 | RGV 64 – 58 CBU |
| Feb 13, 2022 | CBU 80 – 72 RGV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CBU | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 3-15 |
| Home | 14-5 | 4-9 |
| Away | 3-9 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 79.7 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#202) | -8.8 (#306) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#218) | -1.97 (#325) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#218) | -2.22 (#319) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#236) | 0.440 (#289) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CBU | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 29.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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