Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | UTA +170 GCU -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +6 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | GCU -6.5 (+0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.9 (-21.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -6.3 (+0.3) | 146.2 (-18.2) | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -5.8 (-0.2) | 145.9 (-17.9) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -6.8 (+0.8) | 147.7 (-19.7) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -6.1 (+0.1) | 144.7 (-16.7) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2025 | GCU 98 – 75 UTA |
| Feb 28, 2025 | GCU 85 – 71 UTA |
| Feb 15, 2025 | GCU 82 – 75 UTA |
| Mar 17, 2024 | GCU 89 – 74 UTA |
| Dec 3, 2023 | GCU 76 – 69 UTA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTA | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 30-5 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 17-3 |
| Home | 12-3 | 16-0 |
| Away | 5-10 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 77.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 66.8 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#191) | 8.9 (#62) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#200) | 2.52 (#15) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#188) | 2.88 (#24) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#179) | 0.604 (#29) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTA | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 22.4% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 35.6% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 34.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.