Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | RICE -138 TLSA +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TLSA +2 | 168 | Lost |
| Massey | RICE -0.3 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (+21.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -0.4 (-2.4) | 149.8 (+18.2) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -1.4 (-3.4) | 150.6 (+17.4) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -0.2 (-2.2) | 146.2 (+21.8) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -0.1 (-2.1) | 146.8 (+21.2) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | TLSA 87 – 81 RICE |
| Dec 31, 2025 | TLSA 97 – 48 RICE |
| Feb 22, 2025 | RICE 71 – 50 TLSA |
| Jan 1, 2025 | RICE 70 – 64 TLSA |
| Feb 17, 2024 | TLSA 93 – 82 RICE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 6-10 | 14-4 |
| Away | 5-7 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 74.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#232) | -0.3 (#170) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.88 (#263) | -0.44 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#256) | -0.50 (#220) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#224) | 0.452 (#265) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 30.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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