Betting Lines
| Spread | TLSA -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | TLSA -950 RICE +625 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TLSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TLSA +49 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | TLSA -20.3 (+28.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.5 (-14.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TLSA -19.7 (+29.3) | 152.7 (-7.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TLSA -14.7 (+34.3) | 153.4 (-8.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TLSA -16.8 (+32.2) | 153.2 (-8.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TLSA -19.5 (+29.5) | 152.6 (-7.6) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | TLSA 87 – 81 RICE |
| Feb 22, 2025 | RICE 71 – 50 TLSA |
| Jan 1, 2025 | RICE 70 – 64 TLSA |
| Feb 17, 2024 | TLSA 93 – 82 RICE |
| Jan 28, 2024 | TLSA 85 – 83 RICE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TLSA | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-8 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 7-11 |
| Home | 16-2 | 8-8 |
| Away | 8-4 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.9 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 76.8 |
| Massey | 10.6 (#53) | -5.6 (#256) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.75 (#26) | -0.57 (#231) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.85 (#27) | -0.98 (#233) |
| RPI | 0.626 (#22) | 0.447 (#274) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TLSA | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 40.1% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.1% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 35.6% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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