Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | RICE -260 TLSA +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +21 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | RICE -8.5 (+12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (-19.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -6.7 (+14.3) | 142.0 (-21.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -5.6 (+15.4) | 141.8 (-20.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -6.9 (+14.1) | 139.8 (-18.8) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -6.5 (+14.5) | 141.4 (-20.4) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | TLSA 87 – 81 RICE |
| Dec 31, 2025 | TLSA 97 – 48 RICE |
| Jan 1, 2025 | RICE 70 – 64 TLSA |
| Feb 17, 2024 | TLSA 93 – 82 RICE |
| Jan 28, 2024 | TLSA 85 – 83 RICE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 6-12 |
| Home | 7-8 | 8-9 |
| Away | 4-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#180) | -6.4 (#270) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#227) | -1.15 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#209) | -1.34 (#270) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#264) | 0.429 (#312) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 30.6% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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