Betting Lines
| Spread | MOST -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | UIC +180 MOST -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MOST +15 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | UIC -3.1 (-18.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.5 (-16.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -0.7 (-15.7) | 135.2 (-18.2) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MOST -0.8 (-14.2) | 132.8 (-15.8) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -1.9 (-16.9) | 137.1 (-20.1) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -1.6 (-16.6) | 137.1 (-20.1) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2025 | UIC 63 – 58 MOST |
| Jan 8, 2025 | UIC 80 – 63 MOST |
| Mar 3, 2024 | MOST 69 – 59 UIC |
| Mar 3, 2023 | MOST 74 – 57 UIC |
| Jan 25, 2023 | MOST 63 – 59 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 12-8 |
| Home | 7-8 | 10-4 |
| Away | 3-11 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 63.7 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#217) | 1.2 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#246) | -0.34 (#210) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.71 (#275) | 0.60 (#145) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#257) | 0.433 (#272) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 21.7% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 31.1% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.7% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.3% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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