Betting Lines
| Spread | MOST -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | MOST -1200 UIC +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MOST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MOST +4 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | MOST -13.4 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.5 (-8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MOST -10.6 (-6.6) | 132.5 (-10.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MOST -13.3 (-9.3) | 132.9 (-10.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MOST -9.7 (-5.7) | 132.4 (-10.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MOST -10.6 (-6.6) | 133.5 (-11.5) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2025 | UIC 63 – 58 MOST |
| Jan 8, 2025 | UIC 80 – 63 MOST |
| Mar 3, 2024 | MOST 69 – 59 UIC |
| Mar 3, 2023 | MOST 74 – 57 UIC |
| Dec 1, 2022 | MOST 66 – 51 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MOST | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 4-16 |
| Home | 10-4 | 7-8 |
| Away | 5-8 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.7 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#128) | -7.3 (#299) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#152) | -0.98 (#276) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#156) | -1.23 (#277) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#132) | 0.444 (#283) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MOST | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 21.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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