Betting Lines
| Spread | UIC -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | UIC -250 MOST +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +5 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | UIC -8.2 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.3 (-27.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -6.3 (-1.3) | 143.7 (-22.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIC -6.0 (-1.0) | 142.4 (-21.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -7.1 (-2.1) | 143.9 (-22.9) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -6.2 (-1.2) | 145.3 (-24.3) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 8, 2025 | UIC 80 – 63 MOST |
| Mar 3, 2024 | MOST 69 – 59 UIC |
| Mar 3, 2023 | MOST 74 – 57 UIC |
| Jan 25, 2023 | MOST 63 – 59 UIC |
| Dec 1, 2022 | MOST 66 – 51 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 2-18 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-8 |
| Away | 7-6 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#135) | -3.4 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#136) | -0.96 (#259) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#136) | -0.84 (#231) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#118) | 0.447 (#276) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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