Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | WAKE -350 ND +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +8 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | WAKE -10.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.8 (-27.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -10.3 (-2.3) | 148.7 (-24.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAKE -10.3 (-2.3) | 147.7 (-23.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -9.8 (-1.8) | 150.4 (-26.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -10.5 (-2.5) | 152.5 (-28.5) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2025 | WAKE 74 – 71 ND |
| Mar 13, 2024 | WAKE 72 – 59 ND |
| Feb 28, 2024 | ND 70 – 65 WAKE |
| Feb 4, 2023 | WAKE 81 – 64 ND |
| Feb 19, 2022 | WAKE 79 – 74 ND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | ND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 3-17 |
| Home | 13-3 | 11-8 |
| Away | 4-8 | 0-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 6.6 (#81) | -0.3 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.47 (#66) | -0.44 (#223) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.94 (#58) | -0.38 (#201) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#83) | 0.462 (#258) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | ND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 13.4% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 20.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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