Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | WAKE -425 ND +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +3 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | WAKE -5.2 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (+7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -6.4 (-3.4) | 144.8 (+0.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAKE -6.7 (-3.7) | 141.3 (+3.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -6.8 (-3.8) | 142.1 (+2.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -7.1 (-4.1) | 144.9 (+0.1) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2024 | WAKE 72 – 59 ND |
| Feb 28, 2024 | ND 70 – 65 WAKE |
| Feb 26, 2023 | WAKE 66 – 58 ND |
| Feb 4, 2023 | WAKE 81 – 64 ND |
| Feb 19, 2022 | WAKE 79 – 74 ND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | ND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 8-12 |
| Home | 13-3 | 11-5 |
| Away | 6-6 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 7.4 (#79) | 5.4 (#94) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.05 (#45) | 0.23 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.34 (#54) | 0.65 (#120) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#57) | 0.498 (#184) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | ND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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