Betting Lines
| Spread | UVA -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 120.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +17 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | UVA -2.6 (-19.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.1 (-7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVA -2.9 (-19.9) | 127.5 (-10.5) | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVA -2.9 (-19.9) | 121.1 (-4.1) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVA -3.3 (-20.3) | 132.0 (-15.0) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UVA -2.8 (-19.8) | 132.5 (-15.5) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2025 | CLEM 71 – 58 UVA |
| Feb 3, 2024 | UVA 66 – 65 CLEM |
| Mar 11, 2023 | UVA 76 – 56 CLEM |
| Mar 1, 2023 | UVA 64 – 57 CLEM |
| Jan 5, 2022 | UVA 75 – 65 CLEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVA | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 8-12 |
| Home | 11-7 | 11-5 |
| Away | 7-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.4 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.1 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#85) | 7.8 (#63) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#125) | 1.15 (#86) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.59 (#81) | 1.59 (#83) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#153) | 0.572 (#64) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVA | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 41.4% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.9% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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