Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | UVA +250 CLEM -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +13 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | CLEM -8.3 (-4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.5 (-0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -8.7 (-4.3) | 128.6 (+0.4) | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -5.9 (-7.1) | 129.0 (+0.0) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -6.7 (-6.3) | 134.4 (-5.4) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -6.5 (-6.5) | 136.2 (-7.2) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2024 | UVA 66 – 65 CLEM |
| Mar 11, 2023 | UVA 76 – 56 CLEM |
| Mar 1, 2023 | UVA 64 – 57 CLEM |
| Jan 5, 2022 | UVA 75 – 65 CLEM |
| Dec 23, 2021 | CLEM 67 – 50 UVA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVA | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 27-7 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 18-2 |
| Home | 10-7 | 15-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.8 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.8 | 65.8 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#99) | 16.0 (#27) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#93) | 2.89 (#18) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.35 (#86) | 3.59 (#19) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#110) | 0.623 (#15) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVA | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 38.9% |
| REB / G | 29.8 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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