Betting Lines
| Spread | CCU -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCU +10 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | CCU -4.0 (+6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.0 (+2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCU -2.8 (+7.2) | 134.2 (+1.8) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCU -3.3 (+6.7) | 132.0 (+4.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCU -2.3 (+7.7) | 135.7 (+0.3) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCU -2.5 (+7.5) | 136.4 (-0.4) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2025 | TROY 83 – 66 CCU |
| Dec 30, 2023 | TROY 72 – 65 CCU |
| Feb 25, 2023 | TROY 95 – 74 CCU |
| Jan 7, 2022 | TROY 69 – 59 CCU |
| Mar 7, 2021 | CCU 86 – 68 TROY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCU | TROY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 10-6 |
| Home | 13-7 | 10-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 67.1 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#159) | -0.8 (#179) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#192) | 0.69 (#121) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#190) | 0.85 (#117) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#193) | 0.523 (#130) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCU | TROY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.