Betting Lines
| Spread | CCU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | CCU -450 TROY +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCU +18 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | CCU -8.8 (+9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.0 (+19.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCU -7.3 (+10.7) | 137.6 (+16.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCU -7.3 (+10.7) | 136.6 (+17.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCU -7.5 (+10.5) | 136.1 (+17.9) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCU -7.6 (+10.4) | 135.7 (+18.3) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2025 | TROY 83 – 66 CCU |
| Dec 30, 2023 | TROY 72 – 65 CCU |
| Feb 25, 2023 | TROY 95 – 74 CCU |
| Feb 19, 2022 | CCU 73 – 63 TROY |
| Jan 7, 2022 | TROY 69 – 59 CCU |
Game Analysis
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