Somehow I stayed thin, while the other guys got fat "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
← All models

Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
39–18 on winners spread MAE 7.9 57 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Memphis @ Temple -5.3 151.1 34% 81–88 ✗
Michigan @ Minnesota -11.2 143.4 19% 81–84 ✗
High Point @ Longwood -2.7 149.0 44% 80–82 ✗
Binghamton @ Vermont +4.9 131.1 73% 64–72 ✓
Marshall @ James Madison +4.7 142.7 67% 64–67 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Coastal Carolina +3.9 141.8 65% 88–87 ✗
App State @ Old Dominion -4.8 132.5 26% 62–43 ✓
Charleston @ Campbell -3.9 149.7 34% 67–61 ✓
Elon @ Drexel -0.0 132.7 42% 65–54 ✓
William & Mary @ Hampton +0.3 147.1 47% 67–64 ✗
Monmouth @ North Carolina A&T -0.5 150.4 38% 72–63 ✓
Hofstra @ Towson +3.1 130.5 66% 60–65 ✓
Northeastern @ UNC Wilmington +5.1 136.0 73% 72–80 ✓
Central Arkansas @ North Florida +8.1 162.1 77% 80–92 ✓
Queens University @ Stetson -6.6 150.5 25% 95–60 ✓
North Alabama @ Jacksonville +1.3 142.4 59% 60–64 ✓
Merrimack @ Quinnipiac +1.9 131.9 59% 76–81 ✓
Marist @ Saint Peter's -0.4 126.0 44% 56–51 ✓
Niagara @ Fairfield +0.3 136.2 54% 66–70 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Rider -3.5 135.5 31% 60–66 ✗
Sacred Heart @ Siena +2.4 147.6 64% 75–93 ✓
Canisius @ Iona +7.8 138.8 81% 61–82 ✓
Sam Houston @ Kennesaw State +2.1 156.1 67% 69–75 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Jacksonville State +2.0 138.3 61% 61–63 ✓
New Mexico State @ Florida International -3.1 143.4 37% 59–52 ✓
Western Illinois @ Morehead State +4.6 134.6 73% 47–51 ✓
Sacramento State @ Northern Arizona +8.8 131.6 80% 53–77 ✓
Portland State @ Northern Colorado +9.6 151.4 80% 69–72 ✓
Louisiana @ Arkansas State +15.9 144.8 89% 63–83 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Austin Peay -2.2 142.6 43% 90–97 ✗
Utah Valley @ UT Arlington -1.8 142.4 37% 85–83 ✓
California Baptist @ Tarleton State -6.2 134.3 33% 57–67 ✗
North Dakota @ South Dakota State +11.0 156.2 85% 73–109 ✓
Oral Roberts @ South Dakota +9.7 163.9 86% 82–92 ✓
Kansas City @ North Dakota State +10.0 139.2 85% 64–71 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Tennessee State +0.0 140.0 47% 87–80 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ Tennessee Tech +1.6 139.5 57% 77–70 ✗
Lindenwood @ Southern Indiana +1.6 138.9 55% 73–80 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ UT Martin +8.1 140.2 77% 63–68 ✓
Maryland @ Northwestern -2.7 144.1 44% 74–76 ✗
Rutgers @ Nebraska +7.9 148.8 77% 85–82 ✗
Montana State @ Idaho State +2.0 137.5 63% 67–70 ✓
Montana @ Weber State +0.7 146.6 54% 63–59 ✗
Abilene Christian @ Grand Canyon +11.4 142.4 86% 58–88 ✓
UTEP @ Liberty +10.9 135.4 80% 72–70 ✗
UC Davis @ Cal Poly +4.2 151.0 60% 65–54 ✗
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Irvine +23.8 138.3 91% 62–82 ✓
UC Riverside @ UC Santa Barbara +4.9 137.6 68% 63–66 ✓
UC San Diego @ Long Beach State -14.7 139.0 13% 80–54 ✓
Santa Clara @ Loyola Marymount -4.1 147.4 37% 54–57 ✗
Pacific @ Portland +0.5 147.6 56% 81–84 ✓
San Francisco @ Pepperdine -4.9 146.8 31% 80–63 ✓
Washington State @ San Diego -11.9 151.7 16% 65–61 ✓
Utah Tech @ Seattle U +8.5 139.6 78% 62–82 ✓
Gonzaga @ Oregon State -3.4 150.7 38% 89–97 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ Hawai'i +1.3 149.9 54% 83–60 ✗
Ohio @ Akron +3.9 158.6 64% 80–92 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.