This will be our year, took a long time to come "This Will Be Our Year" - The Zombies
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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81–45 on winners spread MAE 8.6 126 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
VCU @ Saint Joseph's +1.1 142.6 53% 78–69 ✗
Providence @ Villanova +8.9 141.9 80% 73–75 ✓
Robert Morris @ Green Bay -5.8 145.3 27% 89–67 ✓
Indiana @ Ohio State +8.4 151.5 78% 77–76 ✗
DePaul @ Georgetown +8.1 140.8 82% 73–68 ✗
Youngstown State @ Milwaukee +5.2 142.0 69% 64–79 ✓
Iowa @ UCLA +5.9 152.1 71% 70–94 ✓
Air Force @ Fresno State +2.6 138.0 65% 65–74 ✓
Boise State @ New Mexico +2.1 150.0 66% 65–84 ✓
Alabama @ Kentucky +1.1 179.2 55% 102–97 ✗
Houston @ UCF -12.6 137.5 16% 69–68 ✓
Creighton @ UConn +8.1 146.3 78% 68–63 ✗
Georgia Tech @ Florida State +10.7 148.1 84% 78–91 ✓
Virginia @ Louisville +14.3 131.4 87% 67–81 ✓
Clemson @ Pittsburgh +4.9 142.8 69% 78–75 ✗
Boston University @ Army +2.4 133.7 65% 62–68 ✓
George Washington @ George Mason +7.6 133.3 77% 77–80 ✓
Auburn @ Georgia -6.4 143.1 26% 70–68 ✓
Kansas State @ Kansas +17.2 138.9 89% 74–84 ✓
American University @ Holy Cross +0.3 137.0 53% 74–65 ✗
Colgate @ Lafayette +0.2 132.5 49% 90–67 ✗
Mercyhurst @ Wagner +2.2 123.0 46% 69–65 ✗
Maine @ UMBC -0.4 147.6 44% 87–62 ✓
Oakland @ Detroit Mercy -5.6 132.7 24% 65–59 ✓
VMI @ The Citadel -3.7 132.1 27% 75–70 ✓
Buffalo @ Western Michigan +7.9 150.8 78% 85–76 ✗
Xavier @ Marquette +10.3 148.5 81% 59–57 ✗
Winthrop @ UNC Asheville +1.3 165.7 66% 84–93 ✓
Radford @ Charleston Southern -3.9 143.1 39% 54–58 ✗
Niagara @ Manhattan +3.4 145.9 67% 65–72 ✓
Arizona State @ Cincinnati +5.8 132.8 70% 60–67 ✓
Arizona @ Texas Tech +3.3 149.5 68% 54–70 ✓
SMU @ Miami -13.5 156.8 18% 117–74 ✓
Wake Forest @ Virginia Tech -3.5 137.2 30% 72–63 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Duquesne -3.3 133.7 35% 57–75 ✗
Davidson @ Rhode Island +4.5 144.3 71% 90–92 ✓
Belmont @ Evansville -5.8 141.8 29% 85–82 ✓
Saint Francis @ Long Island University +4.1 133.3 67% 51–64 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Lehigh +2.3 140.8 63% 76–60 ✗
Yale @ Columbia -3.9 151.2 28% 92–88 ✓
Harvard @ Brown +3.3 137.4 59% 80–67 ✗
Cornell @ Pennsylvania -8.7 150.5 19% 86–76 ✓
Princeton @ Dartmouth -4.2 148.5 36% 81–80 ✓
UAlbany @ Binghamton -0.5 144.7 40% 70–65 ✓
Wright State @ Northern Kentucky +0.2 139.2 53% 78–70 ✗
Elon @ Delaware -1.4 147.0 42% 77–79 ✗
Monmouth @ Campbell +2.5 135.8 65% 58–81 ✓
Stony Brook @ Towson +10.0 135.0 85% 49–53 ✓
North Alabama @ North Florida -2.3 158.7 41% 90–84 ✓
Queens University @ Florida Gulf Coast +4.6 146.1 67% 47–60 ✓
Kansas City @ North Dakota -0.7 141.5 54% 72–76 ✗
Toledo @ Ball State +0.9 150.8 53% 93–75 ✗
Eastern Michigan @ Bowling Green +4.0 150.8 70% 68–62 ✗
Central Michigan @ Northern Illinois -9.3 139.2 18% 71–66 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Sacred Heart +0.0 131.1 46% 66–61 ✗
Canisius @ Fairfield +7.2 139.8 77% 78–67 ✗
UTEP @ Florida International -2.8 142.1 39% 81–73 ✓
Stanford @ North Carolina +11.4 152.9 83% 72–71 ✗
Le Moyne @ Chicago State -1.5 141.8 44% 72–88 ✗
Saint Louis @ Richmond -2.2 138.4 47% 63–59 ✓
Purdue @ Oregon +2.4 142.6 46% 65–58 ✗
Wisconsin @ USC -1.6 150.2 40% 84–69 ✓
Colorado @ Oklahoma State +0.7 139.9 59% 73–83 ✓
Tulsa @ South Florida +7.6 151.1 80% 56–63 ✓
New Hampshire @ NJIT +1.1 130.2 62% 59–64 ✓
Louisiana @ UL Monroe -0.9 141.9 37% 65–60 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Jacksonville +11.5 140.1 85% 62–72 ✓
North Dakota State @ South Dakota -4.5 165.5 38% 103–77 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Western Carolina -13.6 134.5 15% 83–55 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Kent State +2.0 137.3 54% 70–61 ✗
Siena @ Merrimack +4.2 134.1 68% 58–64 ✓
Tennessee @ Vanderbilt -3.8 138.6 49% 75–76 ✗
Georgia State @ Arkansas State +13.5 150.8 87% 59–85 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Old Dominion +1.2 145.6 51% 67–63 ✗
Lindenwood @ Morehead State +4.9 134.8 68% 65–82 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ East Texas A&M +1.6 141.5 55% 82–73 ✗
Marshall @ Coastal Carolina -2.8 137.5 36% 77–64 ✓
Texas @ Florida +12.6 150.3 84% 60–84 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Gardner-Webb +9.3 155.5 83% 68–97 ✓
North Texas @ UTSA -9.0 136.6 18% 72–57 ✓
Notre Dame @ Syracuse -1.6 148.7 47% 69–77 ✗
Loyola Chicago @ Dayton +11.4 142.4 83% 81–83 ✓
UIC @ Valparaiso +0.3 153.3 52% 81–74 ✗
Bradley @ Murray State -1.0 142.1 44% 74–61 ✓
Colorado State @ Wyoming -3.5 134.4 34% 79–63 ✓
West Georgia @ Stetson -0.0 148.4 48% 78–82 ✗
Navy @ Bucknell +4.6 141.1 69% 69–73 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Fairleigh Dickinson -3.7 138.7 33% 71–60 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Bryant +3.1 156.3 65% 62–85 ✓
App State @ James Madison +1.5 131.2 54% 58–50 ✗
Troy @ South Alabama +3.8 130.6 72% 63–64 ✓
UC Davis @ UC Santa Barbara +8.6 132.3 78% 64–60 ✗
South Carolina @ Oklahoma +6.9 141.7 78% 62–82 ✓
Utah Tech @ Utah Valley +10.5 141.1 86% 80–96 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Mount St. Mary's +0.9 139.5 56% 91–57 ✗
Little Rock @ Tennessee Tech +0.7 134.4 46% 77–71 ✗
Stephen F. Austin @ Nicholls +6.9 132.7 74% 61–73 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Houston Christian -2.2 140.9 40% 57–66 ✗
Western Illinois @ Southern Indiana +3.2 134.3 60% 66–78 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ UT Martin -0.5 134.5 50% 82–85 ✗
Eastern Illinois @ Tennessee State +4.4 145.9 64% 65–84 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Northwestern State +0.9 134.9 50% 65–64 ✗
Iowa State @ West Virginia -2.5 137.8 46% 57–64 ✗
Missouri State @ Illinois State +10.0 139.1 83% 68–74 ✓
Lamar @ McNeese +13.1 134.3 87% 64–75 ✓
Southern Miss @ Texas State +9.4 146.9 80% 82–85 ✓
Northeastern @ Charleston +5.8 144.6 76% 85–87 ✓
Chattanooga @ Furman +5.7 146.9 73% 75–71 ✗
Sam Houston @ Jacksonville State +4.4 150.1 70% 62–70 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Kennesaw State -0.3 140.9 55% 76–78 ✗
Oral Roberts @ South Dakota State +15.9 157.4 89% 70–84 ✓
Jackson State @ Prairie View A&M +0.5 151.8 51% 79–70 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ Bethune-Cookman +25.3 132.1 91% 58–83 ✓
Alabama State @ Alabama A&M -8.2 153.3 24% 69–65 ✓
Ole Miss @ Mississippi State +3.5 146.8 66% 81–84 ✓
California @ NC State +5.4 141.9 72% 65–62 ✗
Drake @ Indiana State -8.2 137.5 17% 71–53 ✓
San José State @ Nevada +11.9 139.1 86% 64–75 ✓
Grambling @ Southern +10.1 135.3 82% 60–67 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Incarnate Word -2.9 146.5 39% 69–63 ✓
Arkansas @ Missouri +7.6 147.9 79% 65–83 ✓
Portland @ Washington State +16.1 155.4 89% 70–92 ✓
Mercer @ Wofford +8.6 149.0 78% 49–69 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Samford +5.6 151.1 73% 65–60 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Florida A&M +10.2 152.9 86% 76–86 ✓
Alcorn State @ Texas Southern +2.8 138.4 64% 57–66 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.