See my tailor, he's called Simon, I know it's going to fit. "Sex & Drugs & Rock & Roll" - Ian Dury
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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34–21 on winners spread MAE 8.2 55 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Wichita State @ Memphis +12.4 155.0 87% 53–61 ✓
Bryant @ New Hampshire -12.9 148.2 14% 95–76 ✓
NJIT @ Vermont +9.6 127.0 86% 64–68 ✓
Marshall @ Georgia State -4.0 146.5 32% 92–79 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Charleston +2.3 148.0 59% 85–83 ✗
Campbell @ Stony Brook -3.3 132.9 35% 79–54 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Towson +10.0 141.7 80% 67–83 ✓
Delaware @ Hofstra +2.7 141.4 61% 68–93 ✓
Drexel @ Northeastern +2.0 131.6 64% 61–70 ✓
Monmouth @ Elon +10.6 137.4 85% 71–83 ✓
North Florida @ Queens University +5.7 158.8 74% 90–81 ✗
Lipscomb @ North Alabama -1.2 144.9 40% 64–74 ✗
Jacksonville @ West Georgia -7.9 138.7 21% 79–62 ✓
Stetson @ Eastern Kentucky +10.4 153.0 80% 67–66 ✗
Samford @ Chattanooga +0.6 156.5 50% 73–69 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Siena +3.6 139.2 67% 68–82 ✓
Merrimack @ Saint Peter's -0.7 126.1 41% 48–37 ✓
Iona @ Rider +0.9 132.9 43% 73–67 ✗
Sacred Heart @ Canisius -3.7 148.2 33% 93–84 ✓
Fairfield @ Manhattan +5.0 147.5 69% 87–84 ✗
Western Kentucky @ Louisiana Tech +4.3 144.8 66% 67–77 ✓
Austin Peay @ Central Arkansas -0.7 140.1 45% 73–71 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Sam Houston -2.7 151.0 35% 77–75 ✓
Tarleton State @ Abilene Christian +5.2 127.7 65% 56–67 ✓
Seattle U @ UT Arlington -1.1 144.7 39% 56–65 ✗
South Dakota @ North Dakota +0.9 169.1 61% 102–93 ✗
South Dakota State @ Kansas City -3.9 141.3 32% 65–64 ✓
Denver @ Oral Roberts +3.7 150.4 61% 70–68 ✗
St. Thomas @ Omaha -1.8 157.1 47% 78–89 ✗
Grand Canyon @ Southern Utah -9.4 150.8 19% 74–59 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Tennessee State +0.7 147.9 59% 77–89 ✓
Southern Indiana @ SIU Edwardsville +6.2 137.5 76% 76–82 ✓
Little Rock @ Western Illinois -3.6 133.3 29% 62–51 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Lindenwood -3.1 139.9 37% 68–72 ✗
Maryland @ Illinois +7.1 155.8 76% 91–70 ✗
Northern Colorado @ Idaho -3.9 153.8 36% 76–77 ✗
Northern Arizona @ Eastern Washington +1.5 141.7 58% 70–61 ✗
App State @ Arkansas State +5.7 135.4 71% 55–65 ✓
Hawai'i @ UC Davis -0.1 133.4 57% 66–68 ✗
San Francisco @ Saint Mary's +9.2 135.6 81% 51–71 ✓
Morehead State @ Eastern Illinois -3.0 131.4 32% 73–66 ✓
Kennesaw State @ New Mexico State +6.2 144.1 76% 69–56 ✗
Jacksonville State @ UTEP +3.2 139.9 67% 73–66 ✗
Pepperdine @ Oregon State +16.6 145.1 89% 63–83 ✓
Idaho State @ Sacramento State -7.7 131.2 25% 71–75 ✗
Weber State @ Portland State +4.9 140.0 71% 56–74 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ UC San Diego +12.4 135.4 87% 63–77 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Cal State Fullerton -3.3 142.2 36% 71–68 ✓
UC Irvine @ UC Riverside -7.0 142.6 33% 80–84 ✗
Long Beach State @ Cal State Northridge +13.9 145.0 88% 76–86 ✓
San Diego @ Portland +1.0 147.3 60% 82–92 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Pacific -5.4 141.5 29% 73–68 ✓
Washington State @ Santa Clara +6.1 155.6 73% 65–93 ✓
Utah Valley @ California Baptist +0.2 140.2 47% 74–69 ✗
Toledo @ Bowling Green -1.1 154.9 46% 84–71 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.